Market Commentary, May 27, 2025

US Exceptionalism Discussions of U.S. exceptionalism in the stock market stem from the consistent outperformance of major U.S. indexes compared to global markets. For example, over the past decade, the Global Dow is up about 103%, while the S&P 500 Index has risen...

Market Commentary, May 19, 2025

Debbie Downer On Friday, the University of Michigan reported that the Consumer Sentiment Index for the U.S. fell to the second-lowest reading on record, with the mid-May level falling to 50.8 from April’s 52.2. “Tariffs were spontaneously mentioned by nearly...

Market Commentary, May 12, 2025

Team Wait and See Virtually no one was surprised when the Federal Reserve kept its key lending rate, the fed funds rate, at 4.25 – 4.50% last week. Fed officials had widely telegraphed that there would be no change in the fed funds rate. Hence, the decision had no...

Market Commentary, May 5, 2025

Front-Running Tariffs Distort GDP The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that first quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is the broadest measure of economic activity, fell at an annualized pace of 0.3%. Yet, a closer look reveals that the economy...

Market Commentary, February 10, 2025

Tariff Threat in Play Our weekly Insights offers updates on pertinent financial and economic topics that educate and inform. They focus on what is important to investors. These may include inflation, the economy, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, and corporate...

Market Commentary, February 3, 2025

The Consumer Bolsters GDP The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is the largest measure of goods and services for the economy, expanded at a 2.3% annualized pace in the fourth quarter. That’s down from 3.1% in...